Cory Diary : Trading Log 2021-0825

SGX

One significant change this week is another reduction in SGX share after HKEX announced the launch of derivatives product on New MSCI CHINA A 50 CONNECT INDEX. This is the 2nd reduction of the stock and as blogged earlier that while is easy to make the buy decision, the sell price is not easy to determine. So the decision is to take profit while there is still sizeable gain and the yield is now below 3%. With this move fund is released for opportunity.

Tencent

Yesterday the large rebound on Chinese Tech stocks came as a surprise. Whether it will last, time will tell. So far initial positions are to buy on low. In fact Portfolio added some Tencent shares just the day before. Lucky in sense but not big enough. Hindsight is a bitch. Tencent is now on about same level as early Year 2018 peak. This is around a new support level. Whether they will go another dip is anybody guess. Who guess right will be Guru of the Week. With that, Alibaba HK, Lion HS Tech and now Tencent HK exposure into Chinese Shares.

Some folks make it big by averaging down significantly. Timing has to be really good to do so. But for this portfolio, it will be in stages which means more transaction costs.

Cory

2021-0825

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Articles in this Blog is personal take and educational purposes only. Reader should seek their own professional help when making financial decision and be responsible for their decision.

Cory Diary : Trading Log 2021-0808

Do quite a number of trades recently for a number of reasons. So I thought is good time to document my thoughts as my portfolio hits ATH and want to secure my profits for some counters and some rebalancing. Take note this is from memory so I could make some errors so please DYODD as usual.

CICT

Cleared my position when the price bounced back some after Ex-Dividend. My opinion is that opening up certainly will help the malls. Considering I have positions in both FCT and MCT, I could be more focus. CICT still has possible opportunity externally but I decided not to wait. I may come back to look at it again if they work this out well. Don't get me wrong. CICT is still a stable stock to own for dividend but I am looking for more growth and I feel FCT and MCT will likely do better in the long run.

Nothing is better than a picture. This is where I should focus for longer term. Hope this explain my changes with time. Is quite obvious.

DBS Holding & OCBC Bank

With MAS finally lifting of Dividend Curb, the stock is now back to 33 cents for coming quarter. DBS price went past $31. I took the opportunity to take some profit off the table instead. One of the main reason is that the earning has comes down before allowances. I still have large holding in the bank. I also take the opportunity to clear off my OCBC balance shares the same time. A wonderful ride with banks this year with DBS registering the largest gains YTD and indirectly pushing up the STI Index.

SGX

The result of SGX is not so good. Lower rev and profit. What's surprise me is the interests return from Treasury income took a hit due to lowering interest rates. I didn't see this coming. The stock is quite promising. My investment in the stock is I have the gut feel is quite undervalued. When it hits $12, I did not sell. Frankly, I do not know when to sell because I am not ready for it. So the financial report kind of hit it on my head. I decided to take some profit off the table. Again I am still well vested in SGX and will continue to monitor a bit.

Cory

2021-0808

Articles in this Blog is personal take and educational purposes only. Reader should seek their own professional help when making financial decision and be responsible for their decision.

Cory Diary : Equity Allocation Jul'21

iReit Global

Recent change includes the long awaiting Preferential Offering (PO) finalized. The excess allocation result is kind of surprise yet not. CDP share has more than 2700% excess allocation in term on original rights allocation. This is in consideration that share size is minuscule.

On Custodian account side which is where main bulk of iReit shares are, it is slightly more than 100% excess allocation again in term of original rights given. If we have applied for double the excess, there is likelihood we would have got it as well based on others feedback. This is a surprise. On hindsight, which is a bitch, PP is quite small relative to PO. Well sometimes it takes experience to get through. And then proceed to shade a little off the portfolio to right size the exposure assuming the trading price maintains.

SGX

Is on the tear again. Blogged many times on the significant undervaluation. It has keep growing. Unfortunately we couldn't chase as valuation is an Art especially so when we have sizeable exposure already. It is also one that provides the balance factor on different market sentiment days. It has the potential to grow to join the big 5 of the portfolio allowing more diversification and stability needed to compensate on smaller bond size.

Allocation

Bond investment reduced to 11% but in actual there is expansion in CPF allocation which is not part of this scope. Any interests on Bond/CPF can read ( Here ). Reit allocation lowered to 48% despite recent PO. This is mainly due to reduction of Aims Apac Reit from recent run up. I was second guessing potential rights issue which I have no plan to take up hence the change but on second taught there is possibility of merger which has been rumored for a long time.

We have seen good gains of the portfolio this year. However, there is still room to grow till the end of the year as it has laggards such as Malls and Industrial Reits which will benefit from the recovery of Covid-19 despite hiccups. Maybe we will see 15% allocation if all stars aligned.

Dividend Returns

Dividend generation at sustainable level for the portfolio hits 60k. ( If we leave as it is without injection and say 2% growth, and some dividend growth as well, we will see 4k more dividends each year. This is rough estimate as we need more data with time to get the trend right. The formula will be portfolio value x 2% growth x 5% yield + 2% growth x annual dividend. ) Some injections will push the annual dividend increases to 5k. What this mean is it will take 7 to 8 years for dividend to grow to 100k annual on conservative estimate if we let the portfolio runs on with limited intervention. However, the portfolio which has been living on 7% annualized returns for past decade. So it can be done in 5 years or less. A long stretch goal. Wishful thinking ?

Cory

2021-0722

Articles in this Blog is personal take and educational purposes only. Reader should seek their own professional help when making financial decision and be responsible for their decision.