Apr 18, 2025

Cory Diary : Trade War - CheckMate Day 4

When Trump started the Trade War in his 2nd Term, Canada and Mexico were the primary candidates. What most did not notice is China got hit 10% Tariff without any discussion. When the tussle began within Amercas, China got hit another 10% and again without any discussion.



When comes to political and values alignment, China is a party communist regime who always try to undermine USA in everyway they can. Europe, Canada, Mexico or rest of Asia are mainly democratic countries. Everyone trades with USD currency. 

When Canada, Mexico and EU and most countries accomodate for negotiation, Trump moves against China. His primary target. The way Trump or Vance communicate, clearly there is no plan for credible negotiation. In fact, there is no need. The pace it escalate the tariffs later on are no-brainer. He has check-mate the Chinese. Trump can play this game how he likes it now.

CCP is in precarious situation. Will it ends with a better world ? My portoflio remains. Stay out of China. Is not just an economic issue. Is whether USA remains the only Superpower in the next 100 years. Trade War maybe just another misnomer on hindsight. The only thing holding USA back is itself.


Cory Diary
2025-0418

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Disclaimer: The articles presented in this blog reflect personal opinions and are intended for informational and sharing purposes only. Not responsible of errors. Readers are advised to seek professional guidance when making financial decisions and should take full responsibility for their choices.


Apr 11, 2025

Cory Diary : Tariff Crisis Day 3 Correction Phase



The global market has entered a correction phase, marked by a significant decline of about 20%. This downturn is not solely driven by economic fundamentals but also by geopolitical factors, particularly the ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions.  This escalation highlights the challenges faced by investors in navigating such a volatile environment.


China Will Lose Scenario

From the communications so far, it appears that Trump's strategy involves isolating China economically. China seems aware of this approach, which complicates the possibility of reaching a trade agreement. The U.S. has signaled to other countries not to retaliate, suggesting that any nation not aligning with U.S. policies could face significant consequences. This dynamic suggests that the conflict may not escalate into a full-blown trade war involving multiple countries, as China might bear the brunt of the isolation.


Quick Result

In this phase, Trump is likely to seek quick results, potentially through simplified agreements with willing parties. Countries like Singapore might capitalize on this opportunity by negotiating favorable terms. However, nations seeking more exceptions could face delays and less favorable conditions. The urgency to achieve these agreements means that the bar for negotiations will be lower, and time is of the essence for all parties involved.


Trading Plan

Given the current market conditions, my strategy involves pacing my investments carefully. The plan is to expand my portfolio's dividend yield by rebalancing from safe stocks to those that have been sold down. This approach is particularly beneficial when fully deployed, but it requires careful attention to diversification. While it's tempting to focus on high-yield blue chip stocks, maintaining a balanced portfolio is crucial. The pace of investment must be measured, as the downtrend could be prolonged due to unforeseen scenarios.


Cory Diary
2025-0412

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Disclaimer: The articles presented in this blog reflect personal opinions and are intended for informational and sharing purposes only. Not responsible of errors. Readers are advised to seek professional guidance when making financial decisions and should take full responsibility for their choices.








Apr 5, 2025

Cory Diary : Tariff Crisis Day 2 Preparation

As expected, after capturing the financial status before Day One of the Reciprocal Tariff impact, the portfolio immediately turned negative on the first trading day. Changes made included rebalancing funds internally and eliminating non-core stocks. Portfolio snapshot here.

Yesterday, the portfolio ended with a -2.9% YTD return, mainly due to exposure to the US market and the impact on banks. The US-traded BABA also dropped steeply, which likely signals that the Hong Kong market may follow with further selling. This could imply that Singapore banks will continue to be sold down due to regional ripple effects.

Historically, steep sell-offs tend to bottom out only after even safe assets are impacted—often because investors need to raise cash or seek safety. Hopefully, we won't reach that level, but it would indicate a more secure bottom if we do. Now, we watch to see how many countries align with the trend—likely most will, except perhaps the EU and China.




Day One Actions

Rebalanced portfolio with increased allocation to banks due to the sell-off, while REITs held up well.
Raised additional funds by selling more REIT shares.


Day Two Actions ( Opportunistic )

Dividends Expansion Plan

This step requires tapping into new funding sources. Often, even when we have the net worth, much of it is locked up in insurance, pension funds, living expenses, loan allocations, emergency reserves, etc. In my case, I've even pre-planned 5 years of funding. Coincidentally, this mirrors Suze Orman-style guidance—perhaps a reflection of a retirement mindset, where we no longer rely on active income.

I planned this 5-year runway around my loan repayments and compounding passive income, which helps balance out expenses. Everyone’s situation is different, but I’ve found 5 years to be a solid benchmark for myself.

Based on that, the funding I may free up is roughly 26% of my current equity investment value. I plan to break this into five tranches. Once fully deployed, I hope to increase my annual dividend by 50%, which would be a strong stretch for this funding.

We could end up in a situation of large capital losses, but significantly increased dividends through averaging down. Mentally, one needs to be ready for this. Of course, if we get a V-shaped recovery mid-way, averaging up will feel much better emotionally.

What's missing? A watchlist. I've been struggling with this, and it will now be my priority.

There’s no plan to further invest in the US market at this point; any growth there will come organically. There may be a rebalancing from TLT later.


For now, hold tight!


Cory Diary
2025-0405

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Disclaimer: The articles presented in this blog reflect personal opinions and are intended for informational and sharing purposes only. Not responsible of errors. Readers are advised to seek professional guidance when making financial decisions and should take full responsibility for their choices.


Apr 3, 2025

Cory Diary : Portfolio Updates

Like to take a snapshot of the portfolio with the reciprocal tariff implementation effected. 

Key Changes are

1.    Clearing of Ascendas Reit
2.    Increase of Mapletree Industrial Reit
3.    Rebalance of some OCBC for DBS



YTD XIRR 1.1% which is more than 3% behind STI. The weaker performance is mainly due to US Market exposure. The impact is larger than S&P500 due mainly to Magnificent stocks. Allocation wise is low double digits of the portoflio.

The Strategy remains is to hedge the portfolio against different segment of the market. Reit vs Banks vs US. In-addition outside this portfolio, other than fixed incomes, is the recent addition of Gold against some foreign currency. This is quite new so more like testing water. I did some new ground on TLT earlier and this also help to hedge against US Market volatility. Which can become vital bullet should I need to average down on US stocks.

How will the Tariffs scale of impacts be like .... I am still unsure .... maybe it doesn't matter as long we focus on the business and ensure we have bullets to buy low.



Cory Diary
2025-0403

CoryLogics Invest Chat - No Coin, No Porn, No Penny

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Disclaimer: The articles presented in this blog reflect personal opinions and are intended for informational and sharing purposes only. Not responsible of errors. Readers are advised to seek professional guidance when making financial decisions and should take full responsibility for their choices.