Jul 16, 2016

Cory Diary : Frasers Centrepoint Trust 3Q16

3Q16 Results Highlights

The main theme is North Point on-going AEI. Not to be mistaken by the picture, 3/4 area from the right is the up coming malls below North Park Residences ( Integrated Condo ) which will be attached to North Point of FCT in the left 1/4 area. The whole area will be the future north star of Singapore with integrated facilities such as library, community centre, mrt, bus interchange ground, garden, condo with lots of pools, Cinema, Food courts, malls and more malls. Hospital and schools nearby and a bridge connected to the hinterland.



Financial performance

• 3Q16 DPU of 3.04 cents, up 0.1% year-on-year (3Q15 DPU: 3.036 cents)

Some pressure to maintain the continue DPU growth or same (0.1% up) especially from the statement that 3Q16 distribution to unitholders includes $2.1m from cash retained in the previous quarters. It would have been negative per the Net Property Income of $31.2 million, 5.1% lower year-on-year which translate to annualised 5.3% yield instead of 5.7%.

North Point AEI reduced income by $1.74 M. Cushioned by rental increase specifically Causeway point 9.x% rental revision which is nothing to shout about considering we are comparing to average rental 3 years ago. Looks to me Phase 1 upgrading has much more impact than Phase 2 so FY2017 quarter reports should expects to be better. One more quarter of AEI bottom i suppose.

• Net Asset Value per Unit of $1.90 as at 30 June 2016 (31 March 2016: $1.91)
Share price last $2.12. Book Value is 1.11.

• Gearing level at 28.5% as at 30 June 2016 (31 March 2016: 28.3%)
Which i kind of like it.

Moving forward, I would rate high chance of interest rate hike soon with DOW breaking 18 K level clearly this week which may affects borrowing cost as currently FCT interests is just 2.259%. Do note large lease expiry in FY2017 and FY2018 so retail and sg economy will matters then.


Cory
20160716

4 comments:

  1. I am afraid that the interest rate will remain low for at least one year till mid 2017, judging from the current situation.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Let's the data speaks. https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/%5EDJI

      Fed will find opportunity to hike from low interest rate environment.

      Delete
  2. Hi Cory,

    I think it is common practice for FCT's 3rd Quarters DPU to include cash retained in the previous quarters.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Probably Yes. NPI is 5.1% lower year-on-year.

      Delete